F

Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl — Earnings Quality Grade F

CMCL · Basic Materials

Major red flags

Revenue
$268M
2025
Net Income
$55M
2025
Gross Margin
51.2%
Free Cash Flow
$40M
01

Screening Summary

13
Passed
1
Watch
2
Failed
7.22
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 11 days, change +2 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 88.5% exceeds revenue growth 46.2%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 46.2%, CFFO 81.7%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 12.9% vs COGS 23.1%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 15.2% vs revenue 46.2%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 15.7%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin rose +9.2pp while AR increased and AP decreased. Fraud pattern

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.38. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = 0.73

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.1%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 0.3x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 7.22 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability7.22
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.289
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.821
GMI
Gross margin declining?
24.037
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.462
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.076
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.775
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.051
TATA
Accruals level
1.002
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

4.1
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.084
Liquidity
-0.1107
Cumulative profit
0.2673
Operating efficiency
2.0179
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25