F

Caterpillar, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

CAT · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$67.6B
2025
Net Income
$8.9B
2025
Gross Margin
31.8%
Free Cash Flow
$7.5B
01

Screening Summary

13
Passed
2
Watch
2
Failed
-2.43
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

!
A1DSO Change

DSO increased by 10 days

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 4.3%, CFFO -2.5%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 7.8% vs COGS 11.2%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 33.3% is >2x revenue growth 4.3%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 32.5%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 31.8%, change -4.2pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.32. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $7.5B, FCF/NI = 0.84

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -2.9%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $10.0B covers only 23% of debt $43.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $5.6B = 26% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.0x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 15.1% vs revenue 4.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.43 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.43
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.097
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.133
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.96
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.043
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.068
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.005
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.029
TATA
Accruals level
1.002
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

4.33
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1616
Liquidity
0.6639
Cumulative profit
0.1222
Operating efficiency
0.2759
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-09

Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade