F

Carrier Global Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

CARR · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$21.7B
2025
Net Income
$1.5B
2025
Gross Margin
25.9%
Free Cash Flow
$2.1B
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
0
Watch
3
Failed
-2.57
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 44 days, change +1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -3.3%, CFFO 346.4%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 8.0% vs COGS -2.3%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -24.5% vs revenue -3.3%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 55.0%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 25.9%, change -0.7pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.69. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $2.1B, FCF/NI = 1.43

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -2.8%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.6B covers only 13% of debt $12.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $21.8B = 158% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.5x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 19.7% vs revenue -3.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 4% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.57 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.57
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.029
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.029
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.047
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.967
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.007
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0277
TATA
Accruals level
0.982
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.36
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0382
Liquidity
0.3279
Cumulative profit
0.0607
Operating efficiency
0.5986
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25

·Latest Quarterly Check

About this →

CARR is sitting near the watch threshold across the last 5–6 quarters.

  • Q3 · GM compressionGM: 27.7% → 23.3% (-440 bp)

Updated 2026-05-19