D

Carlsmed, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade D

CARL · Healthcare

Significant concerns

Revenue
$51M
2025
Net Income
-$30M
2025
Gross Margin
75.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$30M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
5
Watch
2
Failed
-2.03
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 82 days, change -9 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 67.9% vs revenue growth 85.9%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 85.9% but CFFO declined -13.8%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 85.4% vs COGS 75.2%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 653.9% is >2x revenue growth 85.9%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 135.6%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 75.3%, change +1.5pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.98. Profits backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -0.5%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -21.4x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -76.4% vs revenue 85.9%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.03 (grey zone)

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.03
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.903
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.98
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.094
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.859
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.905
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.929
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.005
TATA
Accruals level
0.487
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

5.01
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.8638
Liquidity
-0.7747
Cumulative profit
-0.2168
Operating efficiency
3.1637
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25