F

BigBear.ai, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

BBAI · Technology

Major red flags

Revenue
$128M
2025
Net Income
-$294M
2025
Gross Margin
22.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$46M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
5
Watch
3
Failed
-4
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 65 days, change -25 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -41.7% vs revenue growth -19.3%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -19.3%, CFFO -10.1%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -60.7% vs revenue -19.3%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 334.1%, exceeds 70%

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -6.3pp (28.6% → 22.3%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -28.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.3B covers debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.4B = 62% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -4.6x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -13.1% vs revenue -19.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

!
E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles surged 60% YoY

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -4.00 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-4
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.722
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.281
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.892
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.807
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.818
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.473
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.2817
TATA
Accruals level
0.313
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-2.05
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1621
Liquidity
-0.9676
Cumulative profit
-0.3326
Operating efficiency
2.1646
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25