F

Ball Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

BALL · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$13.2B
2025
Net Income
$912M
2025
Gross Margin
19.6%
Free Cash Flow
$788M
01

Screening Summary

13
Passed
1
Watch
3
Failed
-2.45
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 39 days, change +0 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 11.6%, CFFO 997.4%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 36.3% exceeds COGS 13.1%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -2.1% vs revenue 11.6%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 22.0%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 19.6%, change -1.1pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.38. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.8B, FCF/NI = 0.86

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -1.8%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.2B covers only 17% of debt $7.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $5.4B = 99% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.4x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -2.2% vs revenue 11.6%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 2% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.45 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.45
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.004
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.057
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.92
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.116
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.068
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.784
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0179
TATA
Accruals level
1.109
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.15
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0321
Liquidity
0.6258
Cumulative profit
0.0739
Operating efficiency
0.3844
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Ball Corporation (BALL) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade