F

The Arena Group Holdings, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

AREN · Communication Services

Major red flags

Revenue
$135M
2025
Net Income
$125M
2025
Gross Margin
50.7%
Free Cash Flow
$30M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
3
Watch
4
Failed
1.04
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 60 days, change -30 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -28.4% vs revenue growth 7.1%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 7.1%, CFFO 344.1%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 85.3% is >2x revenue growth 7.1%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 35.2%. Normal

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +6.4pp (44.3% → 50.7%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = 0.24

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 76.0%. Exceeds 10%

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 10% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.1B = -1549% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.0x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 2% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 1.04 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability1.04
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.668
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.873
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.051
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.071
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.024
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.524
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.7603
TATA
Accruals level
0.487
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-6.81
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1654
Liquidity
-3.1483
Cumulative profit
0.3595
Operating efficiency
-0.0411
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25