F

Amcor plc — Earnings Quality Grade F

AMCR · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$15.0B
2025
Net Income
$511M
2025
Gross Margin
18.9%
Free Cash Flow
$810M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
3
Watch
5
Failed
-1.64
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 34 days (49 → 83)

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 10.0%, CFFO 5.2%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 70.9% exceeds COGS 11.4%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 17.9% vs revenue 10.0%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 42.5%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 18.9%, change -1.0pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 2.72. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.8B, FCF/NI = 1.59

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -2.4%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.8B covers only 6% of debt $15.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $18.7B = 159% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 8.5x (>4x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 14.8% vs revenue 10.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

!
E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles surged 177% YoY

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.64 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.64
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.687
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.053
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.191
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.1
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.68
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.002
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0237
TATA
Accruals level
0.855
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.98
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.039
Liquidity
0.0148
Cumulative profit
0.0282
Operating efficiency
0.4631
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Amcor plc (AMCR) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade