F

agilon health, inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

AGL · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$5.9B
2025
Net Income
-$391M
2025
Gross Margin
-2.7%
Free Cash Flow
-$149M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-4.55
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 41 days, change -20 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -33.7% vs revenue growth -2.1%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -2.1%, CFFO -83.1%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 4.4% vs revenue -2.1%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = -149.1%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin -2.7%, change -2.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -22.5%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.3B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.1B = 52% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -64.3x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -74.7% vs revenue -2.1%. Normal

!
D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs up 903% YoY

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -32% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -4.55 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-4.55
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.677
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
-0.03
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.83
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.979
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.802
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.906
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.2246
TATA
Accruals level
1.255
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-6.95
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0159
Liquidity
-1.5562
Cumulative profit
-0.3126
Operating efficiency
0.1107
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25