F

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG — Earnings Quality Grade F

AEBI · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.5B
2025
Net Income
$10M
2025
Gross Margin
19.9%
Free Cash Flow
-$5M
01

Screening Summary

8
Passed
3
Watch
6
Failed
-1.75
M-Score

Management Signals

View all →
Routine2026-02-24
Aebi Schmidt · DirectorDeparture
SEC
Routine2026-02-24
Aebi Schmidt · DirectorAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
Routine2026-02-24
James A. Sharman · ChairmanAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC

Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02, with exhibit links when available

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 16 days (58 → 74)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 78.6% exceeds revenue growth 40.6%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 40.6% but CFFO declined -87.0%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 49.7% vs COGS 42.5%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 4.6% vs revenue 40.6%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 59.4%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 19.9%, change -1.1pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.92. Profits backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 0.0%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers only 13% of debt $0.8B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.7B = 91% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 7.8x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.7x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 43.4% vs revenue 40.6%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

!
E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles surged 86% YoY

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.75 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.75
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.271
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.055
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.983
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.406
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.433
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.031
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0004
TATA
Accruals level
0.849
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.35
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.2074
Liquidity
0.0287
Cumulative profit
0.0264
Operating efficiency
0.6829
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25