F

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

AAOI · Technology

Major red flags

Revenue
$456M
2025
Net Income
-$38M
2025
Gross Margin
30.0%
Free Cash Flow
-$354M
01

Screening Summary

3
Passed
7
Watch
7
Failed
-0.59
M-Score

Management Signals

View all →
Routine2026-02-19
Stefan J. Murry · DirectorAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC

Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02, with exhibit links when available

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 25 days (171 → 196)

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 82.8% but CFFO declined -150.9%

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 107.8% far exceeds COGS 70.0%, margin rising. Fraud signal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 308.8% is >2x revenue growth 82.8%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 77.4%, exceeds 70%

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +5.3pp (24.8% → 30.0%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.56. Profits backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.4B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 11.7%. Exceeds 10%

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers 83% of debt $0.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 1% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -14.2x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 599.3% vs revenue 82.8%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -0.59 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-0.59
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.145
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.825
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.857
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.828
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.355
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.746
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.1166
TATA
Accruals level
0.587
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.51
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.3581
Liquidity
-0.4194
Cumulative profit
-0.037
Operating efficiency
1.6891
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25