Grade: F — Major Red Flags
Framework: Schilit *Financial Shenanigans* + Beneish M-Score + forensic accounting principles
Data: SEC EDGAR 10-K (Filed 2026-02-25) + Yahoo Finance
Auditor: Ernst & Young LLP — Clean opinion (served since 2004)
One-line verdict: GoDaddy's operations are increasingly efficient — operating cash flow surged 24% to $1.6B and the company generated $1.6B in free cash flow on $875M of net income. But the balance sheet tells a different story. Goodwill plus intangibles of $4.6B represent over 2,100% of a razor-thin $215M stockholders' equity, cash covers only 28% of $3.9B in debt, and the Altman Z-Score of -1.07 places GoDaddy in the distress zone. This is a profitable subscription business funding aggressive buybacks with debt, compressing equity while inflating leverage ratios to alarming levels. Net income declined 6.6% despite revenue growth of 8.3%, partly because FY2024 included a non-recurring $267M tax benefit from restructuring Desert Newco. The M-Score reads clean at -2.97 — the cleanest in this batch — but structural fragility earns the F.
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Red Flags | **2** |
| Watch Items | **0** |
| Checks Completed | **17/18** |
| Beneish M-Score | **-2.97** (clean) |
| F-Score (Fraud Probability) | **0.52** (0.19% probability) |
| Altman Z-Score | **-1.07** (distress zone) |
| Auditor | Ernst & Young LLP — Unqualified opinion |
| Fiscal Year | 2025 (ended December 31, 2025) |
| Report Date | 2026-04-05 |
Revenue: Steady Growth, Two-Segment Model
Per the consolidated statements of operations:
| Metric | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Applications & Commerce | $1,889M | $1,653M | $1,430M |
| Core Platform | $3,062M | $2,920M | $2,824M |
| **Total Revenue** | **$4,951M** | **$4,573M** | **$4,254M** |
| Cost of Revenue | $1,802M | $1,652M | $1,574M |
| Gross Profit | $3,150M | $2,921M | $2,681M |
| Operating Income | $1,127M | $893M | $618M |
| Net Income | $875M | $937M | $1,375M |
Applications & Commerce grew 14.3% and now represents 38.2% of revenue, up from 33.6% two years ago. This higher-margin segment includes proprietary website builders and commerce tools. Core Platform — domains, hosting, and related services — grew a slower 4.9%.
Net income declined 6.6% despite operating income growing 26.2%. The filing explains: FY2024 included "a non-routine, non-cash benefit to income taxes of $267.4 million related to the conversion of GoDaddy's Desert Newco, LLC subsidiary from a partnership to a disregarded entity for U.S. income tax purposes." FY2025 had a smaller one-time $34.6M tax benefit. Stripping out these non-recurring items, underlying profitability improved.
Cash Flow: Strong and Improving
Per the filing's financial highlights:
| Metric | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1,599M | $1,288M | $1,048M |
| CapEx | -$24M | -$27M | -$77M |
| **Free Cash Flow** | **$1,576M** | **$1,261M** | **$970M** |
| CFFO/NI | 1.83x | 1.37x | 0.76x |
Cash conversion is excellent — $1.83 of operating cash per $1 of earnings. The low CapEx ($24M on $5B revenue) reflects GoDaddy's asset-light model. Bookings of $5.4B exceeded recognized revenue of $5.0B, indicating the deferred revenue base continues to grow.
Stock-based compensation of $318M is the largest non-cash item, representing 36% of net income. While high, it is consistent year-over-year and not used to mask operational deficiencies.
Balance Sheet: The Leverage Trap
Per the consolidated balance sheet:
| Item | FY2025 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | $1,081M | $1,089M |
| Total Current Assets | $1,841M | $1,952M |
| Goodwill | $3,633M | $3,519M |
| Intangible Assets, net | $986M | $1,056M |
| Deferred Tax Assets | $1,053M | $1,182M |
| Total Assets | $8,035M | $8,235M |
| Current Debt | $15M | $16M |
| Long-term Debt | $3,765M | $3,779M |
| Deferred Revenue (total) | $3,319M | $3,106M |
| **Stockholders' Equity** | **$215M** | **$692M** |
| Accumulated Deficit | -$2,789M | -$2,052M |
Stockholders' equity collapsed from $692M to $215M — a 69% decline in one year. The accumulated deficit deepened by $737M, driven by share buybacks that exceeded net income. Goodwill of $3.6B increased $114M, entirely from foreign currency translation — no acquisitions.
The intangible asset detail reveals that most of GoDaddy's finite-lived intangibles are nearly fully amortized: customer-related intangibles have $13M net carrying value against $431M gross, and developed technology has $2.4M net against $241M gross. The indefinite-lived assets — trade names ($445M), domain portfolio ($217M), and contractual-based assets ($293M) — comprise $955M and are never amortized, meaning they sit at historical cost regardless of current value.
The Z-Score of -1.07 is alarming but must be interpreted carefully: GoDaddy's negative equity is self-inflicted through buybacks, not from operating losses. The deferred revenue of $3.3B represents real customer prepayments, not liabilities in the traditional sense.
The 18-Point Screening
| # | Check | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | DSO Change | PASS | DSO 6 days, -1 day YoY. Subscription billing — very low DSO |
| A2 | AR vs Revenue Growth | PASS | AR -8.8% vs revenue +8.3%. AR declining — clean |
| A3 | Revenue vs CFFO | PASS | Revenue +8.3%, CFFO +24.2%. Strong cash conversion |
| B1 | Inventory vs COGS | PASS | No material inventory (subscription business) |
| B2 | CapEx vs Revenue | PASS | CapEx -10.2% vs revenue +8.3%. Normal |
| B3 | SG&A Ratio | PASS | SG&A/Gross Profit = 24.3%. Excellent |
| B4 | Gross Margin | PASS | 63.6%, -0.3pp. Stable |
| C1 | CFFO vs Net Income | PASS | CFFO/NI = 1.83. Excellent |
| C2 | Free Cash Flow | PASS | FCF $1.6B, FCF/NI = 1.80 |
| C3 | Accruals Ratio | PASS | -9.0%. Strongly negative — exceptional quality |
| C4 | Cash vs Debt | **FAIL** | Cash $1.1B covers only 28% of debt $3.9B |
| D1 | Goodwill + Intangibles | **FAIL** | $4.6B = 2,148% of equity. Massively over threshold |
| D2 | Leverage | PASS | Debt/EBITDA = 3.0x. Manageable |
| D3 | Soft Asset Growth | PASS | Other assets -3.6% vs revenue +8.3%. Normal |
| D4 | Asset Impairment | N/A | No write-off data |
| E1 | Serial Acquirer FCF | PASS | FCF after acquisitions positive |
| E2 | Goodwill Surge | PASS | Goodwill +1% YoY. FX translation only |
| F1 | Beneish M-Score | PASS | M-Score = -2.97 (< -2.22). Very clean |
Key Risks from the 10-K
1. Restructuring and Other Charges
The filing notes $11.1M in restructuring charges in FY2025 and $39.4M in FY2024. The workforce was reduced to 5,845 employees by year-end.
2. Declining Equity Creates Acceleration Risk
Equity dropped from $692M to $215M. At the current rate of buyback-driven deficit accumulation, GoDaddy will have negative equity within one year. While this is a choice rather than a crisis, it eliminates the equity cushion that protects debt holders and makes refinancing more expensive.
3. Revenue Concentration Risk — Domains
Core Platform (domains, hosting) still represents 62% of revenue. Domain registration is a commoditized, low-growth market. GoDaddy's strategy depends on upselling customers from commodity domains to higher-margin Applications & Commerce products.
4. Deferred Revenue Trends
Total deferred revenue grew from $3.1B to $3.3B — a healthy 7% increase that tracks revenue growth. This is a positive indicator of future revenue visibility.
Key Financial Trends (4-Year)
| Metric | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4,091M | $4,254M | $4,573M | $4,951M |
| Net Income | $352M | $1,375M | $937M | $875M |
| Gross Margin | 63.7% | 63.0% | 63.9% | 63.6% |
| Net Margin | 8.6% | 32.3% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| CFFO | $980M | $1,048M | $1,288M | $1,599M |
| FCF | $920M | $970M | $1,261M | $1,576M |
| Cash | $774M | $499M | $1,089M | $1,081M |
| Total Debt | $3,981M | $3,936M | $3,895M | $3,863M |
| Employees | — | — | — | 5,845 |
Summary
Grade: F. Two red flags. A healthy subscription business wearing a dangerously leveraged balance sheet.
GoDaddy is operationally sound: revenue grew 8.3%, operating income surged 26%, free cash flow of $1.6B covered net income 1.8x, and the M-Score of -2.97 is exceptionally clean. There is no evidence of earnings manipulation. The underlying subscription model — with deferred revenue of $3.3B providing visibility and CapEx of just $24M — is genuinely attractive.
The two red flags are both balance-sheet structural:
The Altman Z-Score of -1.07 formally places GoDaddy in the distress zone, but this is driven by the self-inflicted negative equity structure rather than operational deterioration. The real question is whether permanent negative equity increases refinancing risk when the term loans mature (2029 and 2031).
**Disclaimer**: This report is based on GoDaddy Inc.'s fiscal year 2025 10-K filed with the SEC on February 25, 2026. This is NOT investment advice.
**About EarningsGrade**: We screen earnings reports for financial red flags using an 18-point forensic framework. Grade F means major red flags were detected that require thorough investigation.
