D

Franklin Resources (BEN) 2025 Earnings Quality Report

BEN·2025·English

Grade: D — Significant Concerns

Framework: Asset management-specific analysis (AUM trends, fee rates, organic growth, goodwill risk) + Schilit principles

Data: SEC EDGAR 10-K (Filed 2025-11-10, FY ended September 30, 2025) + Yahoo Finance

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP — Unqualified opinion

One-line verdict: Franklin Resources is an asset manager in structural decline. Total AUM of $1,661.2B fell 1% year-over-year despite market gains, with long-term net outflows of $97.4B — nearly three times the prior year's $32.6B. GAAP net income of $524.9M masks a collapsing operating margin of 6.9% (down from 14.0% two years ago). Goodwill and intangibles of $10.4B represent 86% of equity. The M-Score of -2.53 passes cleanly, and cash flow quality is sound (CFFO/NI of 2.03), but the fundamental problem is that investors are pulling money out faster every year while the company's acquisition-funded growth strategy has loaded the balance sheet with intangibles. The Western Asset Management investigations add regulatory and reputational risk. This is not an accounting fraud concern — it is a business model under pressure.

MetricResult
Red Flags**3** (AR outpacing revenue, cash-to-debt, goodwill/intangibles)
Watch Items**2** (leverage, soft asset growth)
Checks Completed**17/18** (1 N/A: impairment data)
Beneish M-Score**-2.53** (clean; threshold is -2.22)
Altman Z-Score**N/A** (not applicable to financial institutions)
AuditorPricewaterhouseCoopers LLP — Unqualified opinion

Note on grading: The engine assigns F. We adjust to D because two of the three fails (goodwill and cash-to-debt) are structural features of an acquisition-driven asset manager, not earnings manipulation signals. However, the accelerating AUM outflows and collapsing GAAP margins are genuine concerns that prevent a higher grade.

An Asset Manager Losing Assets

Per the 10-K:

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025Trend
Total AUM (ending)$1,374.2B$1,678.6B$1,661.2B-1%
Average AUM+3% (simple monthly)
Long-term Net Flows($21.3B)($32.6B)**($97.4B)**Accelerating outflows
Total Net Flows($17.0B)($29.9B)**($84.8B)**Accelerating outflows
Total Operating Revenues$7,858.2M*$8,263.9M*$8,685.8M*+3.5%
GAAP Operating Margin14.0%4.8%6.9%Collapsed
Adjusted Operating Margin29.9%26.1%24.5%Declining
Net Income$882.8M$464.8M$524.9M+13% but half of FY2023
EPS (diluted)$1.72$0.85$0.91+7%
Adjusted EPS$2.60$2.39$2.22Declining 3 years

The headline: $97.4B in long-term net outflows — clients withdrew nearly $100 billion in a single year while markets rose. AUM fell 1% despite a 7.9% gain in the MSCI World Index. This means organic shrinkage overwhelmed market appreciation.

GAAP net income of $524.9M is only 59% of FY2023's $882.8M. Even adjusted net income fell for the third consecutive year ($1,332.2M to $1,276.7M to $1,195.8M). The business is generating less revenue per dollar of AUM, and clients are leaving.

The Goodwill Problem

Per the filing:

ItemSep 2024Sep 2025
Goodwill$6,211.4M$6,206.0M
Indefinite-lived Intangibles$3,851.5M$3,400.3M
Definite-lived Intangibles (net)$950.6M$765.7M
**Total Goodwill + Intangibles****$11,013.5M****$10,372.0M**
Total Shareholders' Equity~$12,100M
**Goodwill+Intangibles / Equity****~86%**

Goodwill and intangibles at 86% of equity is the engine's largest concern. This intangible-heavy balance sheet is a product of Franklin's acquisition strategy — the 2020 Legg Mason acquisition alone contributed billions. If AUM outflows continue accelerating, the carrying value of these intangibles may need to be written down.

The filing warns: "Changing market conditions could also cause an impairment to the value of our goodwill and other intangible assets." Indefinite-lived intangibles already declined from $3,851.5M to $3,400.3M — a $451M reduction that appears to include some impairment or reclassification.

Cash-to-Debt Imbalance

Cash of $3.6B covers only 27% of total debt of $13.3B. For an asset-light business that should be generating substantial free cash flow, this is a poor ratio. Debt/EBITDA at 9.4x is elevated, reflecting the debt taken on for acquisitions.

The 18-Point Screening

Revenue Quality

#CheckResultDetail
A1DSO ChangePASSDSO 64 days, flat YoY
A2AR vs Revenue GrowthFAILAR outpaced revenue 2 consecutive years
A3Revenue vs CFFOPASSRevenue +3.5%, CFFO +9.8%

A2 fail reflects AR growing faster than the modest 3.5% revenue growth for two years running. In an asset manager, this could signal slow-paying institutional clients or accrued fees on assets that are leaving.

Expense Quality

#CheckResultDetail
B1Inventory vs COGSPASSNo inventory
B2CapEx vs RevenuePASSCapEx -12.8% vs revenue +3.5%
B3SG&A RatioPASSSG&A/Gross Profit = 69.5%
B4Gross MarginPASS80.3%, stable

Cash Flow Quality

#CheckResultDetail
C1CFFO vs Net IncomePASSCFFO/NI = 2.03
C2Free Cash FlowPASSFCF $0.9B, FCF/NI = 1.74
C3Accruals RatioPASS-1.7%. Low
C4Cash vs DebtFAILCash $3.6B covers 27% of $13.3B debt

Cash flow quality is actually the bright spot: CFFO significantly exceeds net income, and accruals are negative. The business generates real cash even as it shrinks.

Balance Sheet

#CheckResultDetail
D1Goodwill + IntangiblesFAIL$10.4B = 86% of equity
D2LeverageWATCHDebt/EBITDA = 9.4x
D3Soft Asset GrowthWATCHOther assets +22.5% vs revenue +3.5%
D4Asset ImpairmentN/ANo write-off data

Acquisition Risk & Manipulation

#CheckResultDetail
E1Serial Acquirer FCFPASSFCF positive after acquisitions
E2Goodwill SurgePASSGoodwill -6% YoY
F1Beneish M-ScorePASS-2.53 (clean)

Key Risks from the 10-K

1. Accelerating Outflows

$97.4B in long-term net outflows is the single most important number in this report. This is nearly 6% of beginning AUM walking out the door in one year. If this trend continues, it will trigger goodwill impairment testing and potentially force write-downs.

2. Western Asset Management Investigations

The filing discloses that Western Asset Management (a Franklin subsidiary) is subject to "governmental investigations or inquiries, including the Western Asset Management investigations." These could "result in additional costs, monetary judgments, settlements or other remedies, including fines, penalties, restitution and/or alterations in our business practices." Regulatory and reputational risk from this subsidiary is a live concern.

3. Fee Compression and Mix Shift

The filing notes AUM mix is shifting toward lower-fee products. Adjusted operating margin declined from 29.9% to 24.5% over three years. Even if AUM stabilizes, revenue per dollar of AUM is declining.

4. Goodwill Impairment Risk

$6.2B in goodwill and $3.4B in indefinite-lived intangibles are tested annually for impairment. If outflows persist and AUM-based revenues decline, the fair value of reporting units could fall below carrying value, triggering material write-downs.

Summary

Grade: D. Significant concerns. An asset manager with accelerating outflows, collapsing margins, and an intangible-heavy balance sheet.

Franklin Resources is not committing accounting fraud — the M-Score is clean at -2.53, cash flow quality is solid, and PwC issued an unqualified opinion. The problems are fundamental: $97.4B in net outflows, adjusted operating margin declining for three consecutive years, and $10.4B in goodwill and intangibles sitting at 86% of equity.

The Western Asset Management investigations add regulatory risk. The debt load ($13.3B against $3.6B cash) reduces financial flexibility. And the company's acquisition-driven growth strategy has not reversed the organic outflow trend.

Watch the FY2026 outflow number. If it accelerates further, goodwill impairment becomes likely.

**Disclaimer**: This report is based on Franklin Resources' fiscal year 2025 10-K filed with the SEC on November 10, 2025. This is NOT investment advice.

**About EarningsGrade**: We screen earnings reports for financial red flags using an 18-point forensic framework. Grade D means significant concerns exist.

This report is based on SEC 10-K filings and public financial data. Not investment advice.

Franklin Resources (BEN) 2025 Earnings Quality Report — EarningsGrade